PERSONNEL
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Another British Nationalist Party? But Will it Help the West?
Restore Britain’s leader, Rupert Lowe, has created another nationalist party in the UK. But does it help his own cause since he appears to have done it to avenge his expulsion from the Reform UK party?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2026
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | A Storm at the World’s Trade Hub: the Bab el-Mandeb
Some regional states can claim Washington’s attention, which makes the US’s possible moves over Somaliland recognition more delicate. Control over this East-West sea route hub is so critical to trade and strategic dominance that Trump may seize what leverage he wants and leave the details for later.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Change is Tied to Defense Acquisition Changes
Has Canada been gifted a chance to determine its own strategic future?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2025
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Agitprop Always Drives the Momentum Toward Strategic Ends
Agitprop ops are part of the psychological warfare spectrum, and part of the terrorism framework insomuch as they are intended to push public opinion toward a mass psychosis of fear, malleable to the responses needed by the perpetrator. But are Europeans “crying wolf” too much for their own good?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2025
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran Faces a New World: Will it, Can it, Take the Mighty Leap?
Iran has now lost its rationale for its war against Israel/US. But are Iran’s ruling clerics ready to seize the opportunity to transform their strategic posture, even when it means possibly saving the clerical administration? If not, then they risk overthrow or collapse to an ever-greater degree.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2025
PERSONNEL