STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Underlying everything is whether the PRC, now facing instability due to its economic crisis, can continue to pursue a broader strategic contest in the Indo-Pacific, or whether it must contract to control the mainland while continuing a non-kinetic war with the West.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
PERSONNEL
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Great plans to transform global supply chain dominance have largely been destroyed by economic and political collapse, from Beijing to most Western capitals.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Governments act with a sense of righteous purpose to “restore order” and to arrest protestors, while vilifying the causes of public outrage. But the sense of unrest reflects the failures of government rather than the failure of the populations.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
PERSONNEL
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Sierra Leone’s Julius Maada Bio bludgeoned his way to re-election in June 2023, drawing international condemnation. And yet he has now won regional support to stay in office.
SOVEREIGNTY
The European Union parliamentary elections, the 2024 US elections, Britain’s general election — and others — highlight the reality that “the reaction of 2016” has resumed.