SOVEREIGNTY
The Unfinished Battle
The European Union parliamentary elections, the 2024 US elections, Britain’s general election — and others — highlight the reality that “the reaction of 2016” has resumed.
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2024
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Scramble for Antarctica
Barriers are coming down to unilateral power projection around the world as treaties and prestige decline for major powers. Now, Antarctica becomes truly an area of competition.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Is Beijing’s Relative Position Declining in the Pacific?
Internal challenges within the US and the PRC seem more likely than external events to determine the overall outcome of their strategic competition, but the broader Pacific context now seems to be nudging incrementally in favor of the US/Western position.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2024
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Ethiopia’s Civil War: Fortress Addis Ababa Increasingly Under Siege
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iranian-Israeli-Russian-US Brinkmanship Pays Off?
The political theater of the Iranian mass air attack on Israel “satisfied honor” and possibly highlighted the reality that Iran could be split from the principal sponsors of HAMAS: Türkiye and Qatar. A line of communication seems to have been established.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Haiti’s Unrest Becomes Central to Counter-US Operations
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2024
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the “China Collapse” Already Been a “Soft Landing”?
PERSONNEL