GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Defense & Foreign Affairs staff
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Waiting for Another Historical Parting on the Red Sea
So far, the Fano groups have not had foreign support, except for the moral support of Eritrea. But the next phase will see — as it did with the Arbegnoch in the 1939-41 phase — the establishment of unified communications and command.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nagorno-Karabakh's Fate Was Sealed by the INSTC
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2023
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
MIGRATION
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Strategic Power's Inverse Relationship to Population Increase
One of the remaining myths to be punctured in assessing strategic power and strength is the widely-entrenched belief that national economic growth is directly proportional to population growth and population size.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coup d’État as a “Democratic Response” to Pseudo-Coup
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09-2023
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the West Abandoned Central Asia, and Vice-Versa?
PERSONNEL