STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
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SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Japan’s View of its Current Threat Position
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Iran: The Bitterness or Emptiness of Whatever is Defined as Victory
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Senegal, a Key New Energy Supplier, May Not Yet be Stable
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
How the New Multi-Polar Defense Industrial World Drives Geopolitical Evolution
Global defense industrial thinking is becoming far more entrepreneurial and creative as major defense forces break with absolute strategic integration with the US, or any other major power.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Further Indicators of Türkiye’s Nuclear Weapons Ambitions
The Turkish defense complex keeps moving toward the nuclearization of its strategic capabilities, from nuclear powered submarines – SSNs or SSGNs – as well as nuclear weapons. And Israel seems set to confront Türkiye before this becomes an operational reality.
RESOURCES
The Strategic Landscape After the AI and EV Bubbles Burst
The AI and EV bubbles seem headed out of fashion in perhaps a year or two, reducing the distortion they have created in the energy and raw materials markets, and thus transforming the basic elements of the balance of power.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
UK Strategic Recovery: A Long and Winding Road
How will Keir Starmer's resignation change the UK’s strategic direction? And, if so, in what way, and when?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Xi Jinping in Pyongyang: The Tumult and the Shouting Dies
Xi Jinping hoped to rebuild his fortunes with his visit to North Korea, and state visits from Trump and Putin, but there is a real sense of emptiness after all the fanfare.
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Back to the Cold War Age of Spies...
The author of the 2026 book, Tradecraft, Tactics, and Dirty Tricks: Russian Intelligence and Putin’s Secret War, Sean Wiswesser, spent three decades as an officer of the US Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), locked in covert combat with the three Russian intelligence services (RIS).
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Bid to Move Beyond the First Island Chain Marked by a Major Failure
The Solomons situation is a significant one for the broader strategic framework and how it plays out over the coming two-plus years.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Evaporation of Victory: How the US-Iran Deal Saw US Dreams Become Elusive
US President Trump has, it seems, opted to “declare victory and go home” from the war he began with Iran. And, unless toppled by the Iranians themselves, the autocrats suppressing Iran remain in power.