SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Red Sea: Security Issue Surges as Ethiopian Situation Flares
Red Sea security suddenly went off the radar as far as the international community was concerned, but it is back and integrally related to the Persian Gulf crisis.
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STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Balkans in the Changing World
The Balkan states are gaining in strategic importance, particularly Serbia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing’s Intelligence Failure
Few things have shaken the leaders of the Communist Party of China (CCP) as much as the US/Israeli war against Iran.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Transformation: the Eye of the Storm
Looking at the future from within the now-maturing maelstrom of trends and actions which are shaping the next strategic era and the probable new “rules-based world order”.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Does a “Sole Superpower” Need Allies?
Trump indicated that the US would soon leave the Iran region without guaranteeing any long-term US strategic necessities, like cutting off energy to the PRC, or gaining clear access to the markets of Central Asia. Trump failed to engage allies but insulted them nonetheless for not providing support.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Curfew Tolls the Knell of Parting Day
Have I not told you, these recent years, that the cycle of great civilizational change is again upon us all? That, in the familiarity of days passing into days, the certainty of our lifetimes is being brought into a new world?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran: What Took So Long? And Where Does It Go Now?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2026
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | AI: In Whom or What Do We Trust?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Creating a New Sunni Axis?
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?