HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Australia
ESSENTIAL READING | Over the Beach Again
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Alignments: CANZUK Emerges from the Fog
Less than an empire, more than a commonwealth: a cohesive arrangement of the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, and New Zealand offers new global geopolitical possibilities as perhaps the ultimate maritime power base.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Amorphous Warfare: Genocide is Alive and Well in Africa
The Oromo war against Ethiopian nationalists and ethnic Amhara peoples is driven by small extremist groups, supported by foreign governments. But it is virulent and gaining traction. Moreover, its impact is strategic.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Shinzo Abe’s Departure at a Difficult Time
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
“No Deal Brexit” Now Likely, and May Determine the Fate of Ireland
Dublin may now have to consider withdrawal from the EU and seek entry into free trading agreements which would include the UK, US, Canada, and possibly Australasia. It would add to the momentum breaking up the European Union.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | The Strategic Weaponization of Lying
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing Responds to India and Cements a Bond With Iran
India not only humiliated the People’s Liberation Army in Ladakh, Kashmir, in June 2020, it made it clear to Beijing that it intended to confront the People’s Republic of China’s landbridge via Kashmir to the Indian Ocean, and to outflank it in Central Asia. Beijing responded with substance in Iran.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 08/2020
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | Australia-US and Indonesia
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
And Then, What? Looking Beyond the Urgent
Strategic Planning: The fate of the current and anticipated global balance is being decided. The inevitable “rise of China” is no longer inevitable. It is over. But then?