SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Central Asia as the New Indo-Pacific Power
The Central Asian states may finally find cohesion … and warm water ports in the Indian Ocean.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Uzbekistan Re-Emerges as the Strategic “Heartland of the Heartland”
Uzbekistan is emerging as the “strategic surprise player”, galvanizing the Silk Road and Central Asia.
SOVEREIGNTY
EN CLAIR | Beijing Reaps the African Whirlwind
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Nuclear Powers in the Act of Colliding
Iran now considers war against Israel to be feasible and winnable…and Israel responds
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty in the Age of Beijing: Can the PRC “Save” Australia? Or Any Nation?
Many Australians believe that their nation is caught in a wedge between the People’s Republic of China, its biggest trading partner, and the United States, its security ally and biggest investor. But is it? And what are the choices now open to sovereign states as the new global architecture emerges?
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Much Could the Loss of West Papua Hurt Indonesia?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
War, With and Without the Media: Beijing and New Delhi Each Tackle Critical Information Dominance Challenges
The net effect of the PRC and India simultaneously addressing “domestic” unrest may reflect current international distractions, but long-term damage to their strategic freedom of action is likely to occur
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Chinese Dawn Over the Persian Gulf
Saudi Arabia and the UAE move away from the US. Iran cements its ties with Beijing and Moscow. It’s another major stage in a very new Middle East.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Turkey After the F-35 Cancellation: the Potential Impact on Cyprus
Turkey's actions toward Cyprus are now likely to strongly reflect the breakdown in Turkey's relations with the United States and the European Union.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | India's Biggest Gamble? Crushing the Kashmir Problem
India, having finally lost the battle to win the Kashmir Valley's Muslim-majority population by political means, began moving in August 2019 to win control over its restive region by overwhelming punitive action. But it risks a longlasting strategic blowback.