GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Dynamics of 2025
Has the “age of heroes” begun its return? Leaders replacing managers?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Who Lost the Pacific?
Great power paternalism finally has its answer. The Pacific states themselves may be taking their region back.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2024
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | The Known-Unknown: Indonesia’s President Prabowo
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Commonwealth’s Surprising Power and BRICS’ Fragility
CHOGM showed that the sun had not set on the British Empire, but that the Empire — now the Commonwealth — has prospered, and that the Crown, as head of it, has moved well beyond the grasp of the Government of the United Kingdom.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | The Optimism of Possibly Reaching Bedrock?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Ramifications of UK Cession of the Chagos to Mauritius
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2024
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking at the Classic Autocracies ...
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Ending Iran’s Nuclear Façade
Major Western powers have for some time hidden their knowledge that Iran has already developed, tested, and deployed nuclear warheads for its strategic missiles. It is now critical to acknowledge the true position, and to assess the likelihood of their use.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Risk Averse? Risk Ignorant?
Calculating risk, opportunity, and context: how the failure of our policy tools contributes to the current collapse of the strategic balance. Changing times mean changing tools.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why Sri Lanka’s Election Matters to the Global Balance
Underlying everything is whether the PRC, now facing instability due to its economic crisis, can continue to pursue a broader strategic contest in the Indo-Pacific, or whether it must contract to control the mainland while continuing a non-kinetic war with the West.