PERSONNEL
AFRICA
Ethiopia: Close to Major Change?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Xi Jinping: The Future Emerges
Xi Jinping’s position was made more vulnerable by the Taiwanese presidential election, and now, with few options left, his exit is being plotted.
AUKUS alliance
Strategic Architecture: An Evolution in the Pacific
A new geopolitical bloc is forming in Oceania, and it may be strategically significant.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Mass Movements: The New Totalitarianism
The 21st Century totalitarian mass movements have led to the decline of political parties, to the point that the strategic conflict for survival rivals the 20th Century war between totalitarianism and nationalism.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Return of Indonesia’s Old Élite … and an Earlier Vision?
Prabowo has repeatedly said that Indonesia’s democratic system was not working, and that the country should return to its 1945 constitution. Even so, the US may continue to woo Indonesia with advanced military equipment.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Guyana-Venezuela: When Will It Escalate to a Broader, Proxy War?
Or has it already done so? And will the West have to move away from sanctions as a primary strategic weapon, and rely more on direct measures?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The PRC’s War Plans Against Taiwan Keep Evolving
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2023
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | The RN in the Pacific
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Oceania Begins to Stir
Australia’s “apartheid” referendum and New Zealand’s election have consequences.