GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
How Long Can Xi Stay Ahead of His Enemies?
The longer Xi staves off his enemies within the Communist Party, the more likely it is that the party will suffer or collapse along with Xi Jinping himself. Something must give, soon.
CRIME & CORRUPTION
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Haiti’s Unrest Becomes Central to Counter-US Operations
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | Maritime Strategy
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: The Silence of the Silent Service
AUKUS was conceived to deliver nuclear power to Australian submarine capabilities. The treaty is emerging as a strategic success … except for achieving its primary purpose.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EARLY WARNING | The Optimism-Fatalism Historical Cycle
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has the “China Collapse” Already Been a “Soft Landing”?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2024
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Xi Jinping: The Future Emerges
Xi Jinping’s position was made more vulnerable by the Taiwanese presidential election, and now, with few options left, his exit is being plotted.
AUKUS alliance
Strategic Architecture: An Evolution in the Pacific
A new geopolitical bloc is forming in Oceania, and it may be strategically significant.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Mass Movements: The New Totalitarianism
The 21st Century totalitarian mass movements have led to the decline of political parties, to the point that the strategic conflict for survival rivals the 20th Century war between totalitarianism and nationalism.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance