STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The overarching strategic US-PRC trajectory seems largely unchanged: the PRC in continued decline and the US in continued strategic consolidation. US allies are making separate plans to manage their strategic space to a greater degree.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Türkiye is attempting to control the global landscape of non-governmental organizations (NGOs) through the United Nations in order to exert coercive policies and pressure on countries within its sphere of influence and interest.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Regional cooperation blocs are everywhere becoming less cohesive, but the disintegration of the West African pioneer, ECOWAS, has perhaps been the most significant.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
In order to show that it favors the US strategy and to present itself as a factor of stability in the region, Türkiye is bringing Ukraine to Syria; that is, to a geographical area that Russia has traditionally used by maintaining bases in order to serve its interests in the Eastern Mediterranean.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Taiwan could be poised to benefit from the declining fortunes of the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to conceivably begin expanding once again the number of nations with which it has diplomatic relations.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Decisions and actions related to the establishment of a Multinational Command as well as a NATO Army Corps Command in Türkiye have recently been made known.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Trump indicated that the US would soon leave the Iran region without guaranteeing any long-term US strategic necessities, like cutting off energy to the PRC, or gaining clear access to the markets of Central Asia. Trump failed to engage allies but insulted them nonetheless for not providing support.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The United States may, within a decade, have completed its move from being “the indispensable nation” — whatever that means — to becoming isolated, even as it remains the world’s sole superpower.