GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Has Boko Haram Over-Reached?
Is Nigeria’s main insurgent group losing information dominance, C2, and cohesion? And is this enough to give the Nigerian Government the impetus in needs to embark on a stable election season building to the February 2015 polls?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nigeria’s Grinding Political and Insurgency Wars
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Souda Bay: Again Vital in the Eastern Med.
As Turkey slips in terms of NATO reliability, planners look at changing threat and access patterns in the Eastern Mediterranean and Levant.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Libya, Now Effectively Divided, Seeks a Way Forward
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Why the Islamic Caliphate May Presage Change
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2014
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa Transforms, But Confused US Policies Push it Toward China
The US Obama White House seeks to retain Western influence over Africa — partially through its Africa Leaders Summit — while ceding strategic “authority” to France. But the plan has backfired, giving strategic opportunity to China, and opening the gates to African change.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EARLY WARNING | How Societies Cope: Through New Allegiances
SOVEREIGNTY
Unfinished Business on the White Nile
Sudan Pushes Fighting Against, and Inside, South Sudan as it Maneuvers to Re-Absorb South Sudan into Sudan
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Middle East: The Khorasan Pledge
How the Great Intra-Muslim War Now Underway Could Re-Shape Much of the Middle East
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Saudi Arabia Seeks New Course After Rift With Washington
Indicators of emerging patterns of global significance