SOVEREIGNTY
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Secret War at the Global Hub
Ethiopia’s war evades foreign scrutiny, but highlights UAE-Saudi-Turkish competition
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | The Optimism of Possibly Reaching Bedrock?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Is the Ethiopian War Saga Ending, or Just Beginning?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
1974: The Watershed Which Created 50 Wasted Years
Failure to comprehend the enduring impact of historical events ensures an inability to address current and future challenges. But the West is yet to grasp the import of 1974.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Ethiopia’s Civil War: Fortress Addis Ababa Increasingly Under Siege
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye’s Aggressive Military Expansion in the Horn of Africa
Türkiye’s ballistic missile program is expanding significantly as it not only expands cooperation with Pakistan, but also creates a test range in Somalia. Ankara now dominates the Horn of Africa in many military-diplomatic and trade matters.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2024
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
ESSENTIAL READING | History Through Recognition
AFRICA
Ethiopia: Close to Major Change?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance