GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Global Restructuring: Who’s Listening to the Big Powers?
Mali’s rejection of outside influences spelled a major reverse in Africa for France, the West, and ECOWAS, but it brought no joy for Beijing, or for regional or global governance.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
US-Russia: Do All Major Wars Begin With “Phony Wars”?
It started as an information dominance campaign carried out abroad to distract US voters from the unpopularity of their government, running up to new elections. But it has placed Ukraine in a no-win situation, and has already led to a profound and lasting division in NATO.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | We Have Seen Defense’s Enemy, and it is Inflation. Or is it?
“New Defense” industrial thinking, with far greater private sector engagement from new companies using newer technological approaches, is starting to mirror the success of the “New Space” sector. Defense bureaucracies, however, are slower to adopt such anti-inflationary thinking.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Jakarta: Balancing, Yet Moving
Indonesia's movement toward greater regional economic and strategic power is showing success, and it is occurring with excruciating care to balance its position between superpowers.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Washington's Stumbling War Against Ethiopia
How the US plunges into the defeat of its own and Western interests in the Horn of Africa
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Russia Escalates Preparedness for Kinetic Space Operations
Most Western states, focus on considering ASAT countermeasures rather than offensive ASAT systems of their own, given the inherent danger of space debris impacting the space dominance of the West’s extensive orbital assets.
Afghanistan
AUKUS: The Dysfunctional Birth and Accidental Promise of the West’s New Global Alliance
Australia, the United Kingdom, and the United States hastily created a new global alliance, but its founders have different views of alliance priorities. AUKUS might actually work, but the US seems intent on jeopardizing Red Sea security, critical to making the bloc work.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Global Trends: Lostpolitik
Germany’s 2021 elections accelerated the leadership vacuum in the European Union and its growing strategic irrelevance, but equally highlighted the tentative rise of a new global power framework …
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | New AUKUS Alliance Constrains Beijing; Transforms Indo-Pac
The AUKUS Alliance starts the process of the US ceding back to Britain some of its historical maritime presence.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
New Realities Emerging in the Indo-Pacific
The Indo-Pacific is the anvil of a new world. But what exactly is the new world?
PERSONNEL