SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | The End of Everything, But Who’s Listening?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | NATO, Europe, Cyprus, Türkiye, and “The EastMed”
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye’s President Is Creating “His Own Army”
But it has serious problems of indiscipline and cohesion, and still lacks the characteristics of a true national army.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s “Blue Homeland” Turns Against the West and the US
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Global Trends: The Great Transition
The glacial drifts to and from autocracy