SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Asymmetric Conventional Conflict
Where can the Israel-Iran conflict go? And has it already created a break-point for the level of influence on the region by external great powers?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
New Tremors in the Turkish Army
Turkish Pres. Erdoğan’s lack of confidence in his army deepens, as loyalties persist to the Kemalist legacy of Mustafa Kemal (Atatürk), more than eight decades after his death.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 09/2021
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Pres. Ebrahim Raisi: A Hard Man in a Strategic Cage
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 10/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Targeted Killing
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
PERSONNEL