STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Assessing Long-Term Threats and Trends
The most important, least invested, security priority
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Iran: The Bitterness or Emptiness of Whatever is Defined as Victory
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
How the New Multi-Polar Defense Industrial World Drives Geopolitical Evolution
Global defense industrial thinking is becoming far more entrepreneurial and creative as major defense forces break with absolute strategic integration with the US, or any other major power.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Evaporation of Victory: How the US-Iran Deal Saw US Dreams Become Elusive
US President Trump has, it seems, opted to “declare victory and go home” from the war he began with Iran. And, unless toppled by the Iranians themselves, the autocrats suppressing Iran remain in power.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Refugee, Soldier, Spy…and Legend
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Homayoun’s 2003 Approach to Ending Clerical Control of Iran
This assessment of the Iranian problem was given to US policymakers in 2003. Why was it never considered by Washington in the planning to resolve the challenge?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
World War III: The Soft Launch
Everything is connected, and it’s starting to become clear with the US strategic operations.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has Trump Chosen to Fall on the Hills of the Zagros?
Did the US have no concrete follow-on plan to restore Iran as a stable ally of the US in the region, as it had been during the US Nixon Administration (1969-74)?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Iran: What Took So Long? And Where Does It Go Now?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
How Will Iran Adapt Now?
Where does Iran go from here? How is the global balance changed — and it is being changed — by the emerging collapse of the Iranian theocratic, revolutionary Government?
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Revisiting the Fall of the Shah of Iran
Scott Anderson honed his skills as a war correspondent, but his new book, King of Kings, has a cinematic quality as it re-examines how the Shah of Iran, Mohamad Reza Pahlavi, fell from power in 1979.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iran Faces a New World: Will it, Can it, Take the Mighty Leap?
Iran has now lost its rationale for its war against Israel/US. But are Iran’s ruling clerics ready to seize the opportunity to transform their strategic posture, even when it means possibly saving the clerical administration? If not, then they risk overthrow or collapse to an ever-greater degree.