SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing Responds to India and Cements a Bond With Iran
India not only humiliated the People’s Liberation Army in Ladakh, Kashmir, in June 2020, it made it clear to Beijing that it intended to confront the People’s Republic of China’s landbridge via Kashmir to the Indian Ocean, and to outflank it in Central Asia. Beijing responded with substance in Iran.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Why Russia is Still the West’s “Pacing Threat”
Russia gives the West a military standard with which to compete. But it’s more than that.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Global Power Disparity Resumes for Africa, Latin America
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2020
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2020
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Outlook Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Iran
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Iran May Have Reached a Strategic Plateau with Soleimani’s Death
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The Balkan War II: UAVs Against Serbia
The US drone design pattern worked well for a low-threat air defense environment. Did the US learn enough from its use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs: drones) in the 1999 war — Operation Allied Force — against Serbia?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Pivot: Did NATO’s Serbian War Set the Stage for the Decline of Western Power?
Is the US only now starting to regain some of an element of strategic military impetus after the peaking of its capabilities and prestige became evident with the Clinton War against Serbia in 1999? The war spurred Beijing and Moscow into reviewing their defenses.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2020
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.