STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The View from 1997: New Strategic Environments Demand a New Doctrinal View
The global military environment has, with the political division of the world, changed dramatically since 1990. But military doctrine, and the tools to cope with the new world, are still insufficiently developed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Guyana-Venezuela: When Will It Escalate to a Broader, Proxy War?
Or has it already done so? And will the West have to move away from sanctions as a primary strategic weapon, and rely more on direct measures?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Insurance Companies as Drivers of Strategic Outcomes
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2023
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Argentina’s Elections: Another Blow for Beijing
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Waiting for Another Historical Parting on the Red Sea
So far, the Fano groups have not had foreign support, except for the moral support of Eritrea. But the next phase will see — as it did with the Arbegnoch in the 1939-41 phase — the establishment of unified communications and command.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.