GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Turkey’s Kurdish Truce Ends; War Resumes on Assad
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Absent Nationalism, Civilization Founders
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Canada Searches for its Identity in Colder Waters
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | *This* is the Book
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | Libya, Now Effectively Divided, Seeks a Way Forward
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Real War: Winning the US Mid-Term Elections
The US White House seemed ready to risk war over Ukraine, and staged an expensive “sound and light” African Summit, all in order to impact the mid-term US Congressional elections, coming up in November 2014.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | Why the Islamic Caliphate May Presage Change
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | The “Khorasan Pledge” and Sunni Jihadist Rivalry
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2014
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Ukraine: A New Blackness on the Black Sea
The US Obama Administration’s handling of the MH-17 disaster in Ukraine risks dragging the US’ allies into an irreversible strategic posture.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Africa Transforms, But Confused US Policies Push it Toward China
The US Obama White House seeks to retain Western influence over Africa — partially through its Africa Leaders Summit — while ceding strategic “authority” to France. But the plan has backfired, giving strategic opportunity to China, and opening the gates to African change.