GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A New Eastern Mediterranean Strategic Matrix is Evolving
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Xi Jinping and the Galtieri Syndrome: Indicators of an Irrational War?
How do strategic planners prepare for what seem to be irrational decisions by a leader such as Xi Jinping, who is isolated from advice and is prepared to define the national interest in his own terms, regardless of the possible outcome?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The Beijing “Talks”: On the Psychology of Strategic Incompetence
Regardless of the tactical milestones, is the outcome of the PRC-US conflict largely foretold?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRACTORIES | Taking Meaning — and Lessons — from Mutinies
Western analysts have been consistently keen to demonize Vladimir Putin, and predict his early departure. Wishful thinking is never good policy analysis. Assassinations and illness are always wild-cards and possibilities. But the Wagner episode was a mutiny in a teacup.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Tactical Obsession as a Mental Illness
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Aliyu Mohammed Gusau at 80: A Guarantor of Nigeria
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2023
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | All Fall Down: Fear of Reality Opens Strategic Vulnerabilities
CCP leadership has prepared for the collapse starting to affect mainland China. It is prepared for a shattering of wealth and hope among its population, reckoning that the PRC will survive, but that Western economies will not be able to handle the social-economic collapses in their own countries.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Calmness in the Thund’rous Volleys of Change
PERSONNEL