DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Scramble in Africa
Now the fruits of Africa’s new era of coups are apparent, not just with the coup in Niger, but also with the other recent coups and “non-constitutional” changes of government.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | When First We Practice to Deceive
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can the BRICS Syndicate Finally Gain Strategic Traction?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CALIR | Has Africa Abandoned Hope For Democracy?
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Xi Jinping and the Galtieri Syndrome: Indicators of an Irrational War?
How do strategic planners prepare for what seem to be irrational decisions by a leader such as Xi Jinping, who is isolated from advice and is prepared to define the national interest in his own terms, regardless of the possible outcome?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The Endless, Vital Game
Russia is emerging as a major victor in the Great Game. Classical geopolitics lives on.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EN CLAIR | An African Church Schism Becomes a Global Trigger
Ethiopia’s next leader could create the grand coalition of the Red Sea.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Beijing’s Eurasia Strategy May Deliver Beijing its Coup de Main
Xi Jinping, facing a collapsing PRC domestic economy and food supply, could broker a Ukraine war peace which would bring Ukraine back into the Eurasian fold. After all, he has now completed a major consolidation of influence over Iran and Saudi Arabia, supported by Iraq and Oman.