GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 12/2023
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
A World Remolded?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Sierra Leone's Crisis Highlights an Africa Breaking with the Past
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coup d’État as a “Democratic Response” to Pseudo-Coup
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Scramble in Africa
Now the fruits of Africa’s new era of coups are apparent, not just with the coup in Niger, but also with the other recent coups and “non-constitutional” changes of government.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.