STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
1974: The Watershed Which Created 50 Wasted Years
Failure to comprehend the enduring impact of historical events ensures an inability to address current and future challenges. But the West is yet to grasp the import of 1974.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iranian-Israeli-Russian-US Brinkmanship Pays Off?
The political theater of the Iranian mass air attack on Israel “satisfied honor” and possibly highlighted the reality that Iran could be split from the principal sponsors of HAMAS: Türkiye and Qatar. A line of communication seems to have been established.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2024
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye’s President Is Creating “His Own Army”
But it has serious problems of indiscipline and cohesion, and still lacks the characteristics of a true national army.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye’s Aggressive Military Expansion in the Horn of Africa
Türkiye’s ballistic missile program is expanding significantly as it not only expands cooperation with Pakistan, but also creates a test range in Somalia. Ankara now dominates the Horn of Africa in many military-diplomatic and trade matters.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s “Blue Homeland” Turns Against the West and the US
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Mass Movements: The New Totalitarianism
The 21st Century totalitarian mass movements have led to the decline of political parties, to the point that the strategic conflict for survival rivals the 20th Century war between totalitarianism and nationalism.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
Argentina
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 01/2024
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS