GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
All Fall Down…What’s Next?
Former UK Prime Minister Harold Wilson said that a week was a long time in politics. The remainder of 2024 is, then, an eternity. Is there anywhere a respite from seemingly irrational instability?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Ultimate Trajectory: Government Legitimacy Under Threat
Governments act with a sense of righteous purpose to “restore order” and to arrest protestors, while vilifying the causes of public outrage. But the sense of unrest reflects the failures of government rather than the failure of the populations.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Societies Alike in Their Strategic Unhappiness
SOVEREIGNTY
The Unfinished Battle
The European Union parliamentary elections, the 2024 US elections, Britain’s general election — and others — highlight the reality that “the reaction of 2016” has resumed.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Can AUKUS, Unrepaired, Succeed?
Failure to plan equals planning to fail. So goes the mantra of businessmen, statesmen, and warriors. Can greatness of outcome be guaranteed without greatness of vision and articulated goals?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | The Musk Phenomenon
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
What If Xi Jinping Could Attempt Formal Taiwan Conflict in 2024?
The only logic which needs to be understood at this stage is that of Communist Party of China General Secretary Xi Jinping.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
US Election Year 2024 — How Does It Affect the World?
Most governments around the world are aware that US foreign and strategic policy is transformed during a US presidential election year, which occurs each four years. Is 2024 any different from past election years? And what does this portend for the world?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Scramble for Antarctica
Barriers are coming down to unilateral power projection around the world as treaties and prestige decline for major powers. Now, Antarctica becomes truly an area of competition.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Is Beijing’s Relative Position Declining in the Pacific?
Internal challenges within the US and the PRC seem more likely than external events to determine the overall outcome of their strategic competition, but the broader Pacific context now seems to be nudging incrementally in favor of the US/Western position.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
ESSENTIAL READING | All the News That Fits the View
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR