DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Universal Unrest and its Meaning
The crowds are in the streets, everywhere, and in different forms, showing signs of fatigue, anger, despair, and more. How does this impact policymaking, economics, and defense decision-making? And how can we think about, and cope, with this phenomenon?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Change is Tied to Defense Acquisition Changes
Has Canada been gifted a chance to determine its own strategic future?
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty, Borders, If You Can Keep Them
One of the founders of the post-British United States of America, Benjamin Franklin, was asked what would be the nature of the new nation. He answered: “A republic; if you can keep it.”
RESOURCES
Strategic Resources: Rare Earths in Australia
Modern war would chew through a lot of rare earth elements.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Searching for “Democracy 2.0”, or Something Better?
The world is divided into those who think nothing can change the fundamental shape and trajectory of society, and those who think radical dislocation is already emerging. But now, more than at any time in the past 3 centuries, change is occurring, whether we wish to have a hand in shaping it, or not
RESOURCES
US-Australia Rare Earths Accord Disheartens the CCP
US President Donald Trump on October 20, 2025, acted to disrupt the Fourth Plenum of the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of China by announcing a US way around the CCP’s ace negotiating position: the control of the export of rare earths and critical minerals to the US and the West.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Can Happiness Defeat Anger? And Why it Matters
Is happiness or contentment, in military parlance, merely an expression of morale? To what degree is it achievable through doctrine, policies, and the shape of society?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Has Trump Transformed, or Ended, the Anglophone Group?
United States President Donald Trump, during the first year of his second presidency, severely shook strategic relationships with the US’ key historical allies in the Anglosphere, the traditionally English-speaking societies of the world.
PERSONNEL