GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
2021: Return of the Leaders
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The US and the World: In With the Old; Out with the New
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Has the EU Brexit Negotiating Style Doomed the EU Itself?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | The Global Watershed of the US Elections
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Central Asian Bloc Galvanizes Rapidly at a Critical Time
Pakistan is the best option for Central Asia to get workable Indian Ocean ports, at Karachi and Gwadar. But this may be enough to trigger India into moving forward with its planned war against Pakistan-held Azad Kashmir.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing Responds to India and Cements a Bond With Iran
India not only humiliated the People’s Liberation Army in Ladakh, Kashmir, in June 2020, it made it clear to Beijing that it intended to confront the People’s Republic of China’s landbridge via Kashmir to the Indian Ocean, and to outflank it in Central Asia. Beijing responded with substance in Iran.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
And Then, What? Looking Beyond the Urgent
Strategic Planning: The fate of the current and anticipated global balance is being decided. The inevitable “rise of China” is no longer inevitable. It is over. But then?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Global Strategy: The Critical “Phony War”
Beijing’s new war against the US and the West could be won or lost before kinetic actions get serious
Afghanistan
Beijing’s “Unavoidable” War: The 21st Century’s Total War Has Begun
The new form of “total war” which Beijing has begun is more comprehensive and amorphous than any strategic engagement seen thus far in history. And Beijing has learned from history: direct military engagement is, of necessity, a very secondary component. This is a war which Pres.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
War in a Time of Weakness
The 2020 Fear Pandemic breakpoint has moved the world from “strategic competition” to semi-formal hostilities. It is now about strategic management in a period of economic and population decline.