DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
“No Deal Brexit” Now Likely, and May Determine the Fate of Ireland
Dublin may now have to consider withdrawal from the EU and seek entry into free trading agreements which would include the UK, US, Canada, and possibly Australasia. It would add to the momentum breaking up the European Union.
RESOURCES
Russia’s Plans to Dominate Energy
Moscow’s energy strategy plays to Russia’s considerable strengths
RESOURCES
Post-COVID-19: Re-Thinking Energy Security
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Iran Between Temptation and Desperation
A significant impact is likely on world energy markets over 2020 along with escalation of attacks by Iranian-backed units against US and other targets following the killing of Quds Force Commander Qasem Soleimani.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
EARLY WARNING | A Crash of Civilizations; A Rise of Machines?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A Chinese Dawn Over the Persian Gulf
Saudi Arabia and the UAE move away from the US. Iran cements its ties with Beijing and Moscow. It’s another major stage in a very new Middle East.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Devouring the Kingdom
US-Saudi and Saudi-PRC relations are a factor in continued US dollar dominance. Beijing is poised to become a major rival to the US for influence in Saudi Arabia, and this could become the hub of the launch of the renminbi as a global currency.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EARLY WARNING | The New Clash of Cultures
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
The Unlucky Country? Australia Faces its Most Difficult Challenge
Australia, long considered “the lucky country”, now faces the prospect that demand for its mineral exports will continue to decline, ending its strong period of economic growth while it sees little chance of rebuilding its historically innovative and competitive industrial base.
RESOURCES