DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | The Global Watershed of the US Elections
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Turkey and Russia Inch Closer to Conflict Over Gas Lines
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Total War: Decisive Battle, Decisive War
CRIME & CORRUPTION
Terror and Crime: The Indissoluble Marriage’s Second Honeymoon
Contact and cooperation between militant groups and organized crime — an historical match of illegals — has flourished since the early 1990s, eroding political stability around the world.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Amphibious Operations in a New Era of Offensive Total War
The world has begun its move back to an era of offensive warfare after some seven decades of defensive strategic thinking. One of the sharp points of power projection is expeditionary warfare, so a new era of amphibious warfare thinking must now occur.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Central Asian Bloc Galvanizes Rapidly at a Critical Time
Pakistan is the best option for Central Asia to get workable Indian Ocean ports, at Karachi and Gwadar. But this may be enough to trigger India into moving forward with its planned war against Pakistan-held Azad Kashmir.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Can Erdogan’s “Conflict in All Directions” Strategy Work?
Turkey seems to be at war on all fronts, particularly with its nominal allies. How can that work?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
ESSENTIAL READING | No Breathing Space
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
China: The Song Has Ended, But the Malady Lingers On
Xi Jinping’s powers were re-affirmed, apparently, at the recent Beidaihe retreat, but the challenges to him and the Communist Party have not receded.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Shinzo Abe’s Departure at a Difficult Time
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Beijing Responds to India and Cements a Bond With Iran
India not only humiliated the People’s Liberation Army in Ladakh, Kashmir, in June 2020, it made it clear to Beijing that it intended to confront the People’s Republic of China’s landbridge via Kashmir to the Indian Ocean, and to outflank it in Central Asia. Beijing responded with substance in Iran.