CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
The Beijing “Talks”: On the Psychology of Strategic Incompetence
Regardless of the tactical milestones, is the outcome of the PRC-US conflict largely foretold?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Great Game: The Endless, Vital Game
Russia is emerging as a major victor in the Great Game. Classical geopolitics lives on.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRACTORIES | Taking Meaning — and Lessons — from Mutinies
Western analysts have been consistently keen to demonize Vladimir Putin, and predict his early departure. Wishful thinking is never good policy analysis. Assassinations and illness are always wild-cards and possibilities. But the Wagner episode was a mutiny in a teacup.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
EARLY WARNING | Tactical Obsession as a Mental Illness
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | Has the West Already Lost the Red Sea-Suez SLOC?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Architecture: When Will There Be a New Global Order?
The “Rules-Based World Order” is in hospice care. Are we already in the inter-pax years?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Undoing Nixon in the Mid-East
The overthrow of Richard Nixon led post-Soviet Russia to dominance in the Middle East.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Proud Suicide of Türkiye
Türkiye, after its Presidential election, enhanced its negotiating position in the Great Game over Central Asia, but in all other metrics entered possible terminal strategic decline.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2023
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking Back to Today
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
How the Prestige and Trust Deficit Impacts the Strategic Equation
Whole of society warfare — total war — must, to be successful, be conducted under an umbrella psychological strategy. This is not just “information warfare”: it goes to the content of all the messaging which generates trust or distrust, confidence or defeatism.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Operational Vitality; Strategic Challenges
Operationally, the AUKUS alliance is moving rapidly to create an integrated global power projection instrument. But it is very different at the political level, where politicians appear to be distracted by other agendas.