STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Is the US Losing the Middle East? Has it Already Lost it?
President Trump has alienated not only some of the Persian Gulf states, but also Israel, damaging what had been an unbeatable support base for him and the US.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Path to Strategic Hell is Paved with Unguarded Rhetoric
There is little logic — and much gambling — at play in all the conflicts now emerging.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Breakup of the Sunni Axis in Restless Türkiye
Tehran successfully used Houthis to discredit the recent Mecca Defense Agreement, as Türkiye refused to provide defensive assistance to Saudi Arabia following attacks.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Breaking the Closed Loop Which is Yemen, and How History Led to the Impasse
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Ankara’s Mistake? The Turkey-Pakistan-Saudi Arabia Defense Agreement
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Trade Winds: The New Global Distribution Pattern, Again
Global trade route patterns are entering a period of massive change in 2026.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Why the Fighting in Ethiopia Matters
Ethiopia’s so-called civil war is very much a proxy war which is poised to transform the strategic balance in the greater Middle East, reducing the power of Egypt and the Suez Canal, Saudi Arabia, Iran, and the Persian Gulf’s Hormuz choke-point.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The New US-Turkish Plan for the Eastern Mediterranean Shatters Traditional Alliance Patterns
Specific moves by the United States and Türkiye cause concern in Israel while also negatively affecting Greece and Cyprus.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Creating a New Sunni Axis?
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Opaque New Phase of the Red Sea Competition
Washington had, by late August 2025, finally begun to focus on the strategic importance of the Red Sea-Suez sea lane and the essential element of control of the littorals which dominate the trade passage. But it is late in joining the party.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New RedMed Jigsaw Puzzle
All the pieces are in play simultaneously.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Dividing the Red Sea Amongst Many
There’s more at stake for the international trading community — and regional states — than just skirmishing with Yemen. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are indirectly at war with each other, and, with Israel, against Türkiye; while Eritrea and Ethiopia prepare for war.