DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Creating a New Sunni Axis?
The Turkish-inspired Sunni axis against Israel, Greece, and Cyprus is being attempted by Türkiye. But can it succeed?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Opaque New Phase of the Red Sea Competition
Washington had, by late August 2025, finally begun to focus on the strategic importance of the Red Sea-Suez sea lane and the essential element of control of the littorals which dominate the trade passage. But it is late in joining the party.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The New RedMed Jigsaw Puzzle
All the pieces are in play simultaneously.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Dividing the Red Sea Amongst Many
There’s more at stake for the international trading community — and regional states — than just skirmishing with Yemen. Saudi Arabia and the UAE are indirectly at war with each other, and, with Israel, against Türkiye; while Eritrea and Ethiopia prepare for war.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Awakening From Dreams: Strategic Infrastructure Plans Which May Disappear
Great plans to transform global supply chain dominance have largely been destroyed by economic and political collapse, from Beijing to most Western capitals.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
AFRICA
Ethiopia: Close to Major Change?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | DR of Congo and Angola Again Reflect Importance
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Insurance Companies as Drivers of Strategic Outcomes
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Waiting for Another Historical Parting on the Red Sea
So far, the Fano groups have not had foreign support, except for the moral support of Eritrea. But the next phase will see — as it did with the Arbegnoch in the 1939-41 phase — the establishment of unified communications and command.