CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Oceania Begins to Stir
Australia’s “apartheid” referendum and New Zealand’s election have consequences.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Waiting for Another Historical Parting on the Red Sea
So far, the Fano groups have not had foreign support, except for the moral support of Eritrea. But the next phase will see — as it did with the Arbegnoch in the 1939-41 phase — the establishment of unified communications and command.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Nagorno-Karabakh's Fate Was Sealed by the INSTC
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Sierra Leone's Crisis Highlights an Africa Breaking with the Past
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
China: What if Xi Jinping Survives?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Coup d’État as a “Democratic Response” to Pseudo-Coup
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
One BRIC at a Time
The Africa-Middle East space and the implications of the BRICS expansion and rising instability: it’s all about perception, and perception counts.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.