SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unready Now; Uncertain Future
Economic, social, and military instabilities escalate, but readiness to face them evaporates.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Endless Saga of Balkan Mischief
Washington and London are taking advantage of the distraction of the Russia-Ukraine conflict to maneuver against Russia’s allies — or, more logically, Russia’s perceived allies — in the Balkans. Washington and London are working to broaden the proxy war against Russia.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye: The Master of Fake Provocations Rises Again
Argentina
EN CLAIR | Is the "Unthinkable" Collapse of the PRC Now Gaining Credibility?
And will protests in the PRC, Iran, and Turkey feed off each other's examples?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliances: Know When to Fold 'em
We cling to old alliances as we cling to childhood blankets, and treat them just as badly. But do we understand them, and their finite lifespans and purposes?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EN CLAIR | How Turkey, at the Brink, Fights to Save Its Leader
The Turkish National Intelligence Service is the President’s primary power base.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Military Doctrine: “Drones” in Modern Warfare
Unmanned aerial vehicles help shape battlefields. But how much more do we know?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Global Situation Report: Calm in the Eye of the Storm
China’s communists have now placed their fate, and the fate of China’s unwilling people, firmly in the hands of one man. The probable result is the deliberate implosion of mainland China’s economy, a key catalyst in an already unstable global strategic architecture.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Eurasian Bloc Escalates its War for the Americas
Cold War II has taken on a more global definition as the Eurasian bloc emerges.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Putin’s Sudden Turning Point
The stark East-West divide — or re-divide — was not irrevocable until now.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Samarkand: A Global Change with Washington Out in the Cold
A subtle shift in the global balance has occurred, without direct US input.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Unrest in Nigeria: A SitRep
The proliferation of insurrectionist and criminal threats has pushed Nigeria to a decisive, but by no means irretrievable, point. Its options, however, are likely to become more clear after the 2023 election.