STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Beijing Bid to Move Beyond the First Island Chain Marked by a Major Failure
The Solomons situation is a significant one for the broader strategic framework and how it plays out over the coming two-plus years.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Evaporation of Victory: How the US-Iran Deal Saw US Dreams Become Elusive
US President Trump has, it seems, opted to “declare victory and go home” from the war he began with Iran. And, unless toppled by the Iranians themselves, the autocrats suppressing Iran remain in power.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
A Foreseeable End to the AI Bubble Within a Changing Global Ethos
Our current pace of strategic change continues to overwhelm us to the point where it is often difficult to break down the areas of change attributable to technologies – such as artificial intelligence (AI) – and geopolitical moves from an age of globalism back to an age of nationalism.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Is North Korea in Play?
Just as the West did not want to believe the old Cold War was over, and its players changed, so it does not wish to consider North Korea a non-communist state. But it truly may be. What is it, and how can the strategic equation now be re-evaluated?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Global Defense Procurement Patterns Set to Change Massively
It seems likely that the US share of the global defense marketplace will begin to peak within the next few years, and then enter a period of decline.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
ESSENTIAL READING | Refugee, Soldier, Spy…and Legend
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Is Türkiye Nuclear Ready?
Türkiye must now be considered a nuclear weapons state, or at least an incipient nuclear weapons state.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Invisible War: How Conflict in Ethiopia Has Global Consequences
Could a confederation between Ethiopia and Eritrea resolve Red Sea security issues?
2026
Mali: Head of Military Government Assimi Goïta Runs Out of Options
Despite General Goïta’s harsh leadership and determination, it still seems that security autonomy is not possible in the foreseeable future.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 05/2026
RESOURCES
Ethiopia and the Nile: Water, Power, and a Changing World Order
Ethiopia’s struggle over the Nile shows how power, scarcity, and sovereignty are being renegotiated globally, and at growing cost.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS Beyond the China Threat: Where Do India and Indonesia Fit into the Picture?
How much does the AUKUS May 30, 2026, ministerial statement clarify how the alliance is emerging and tackling constant technological and geopolitical evolution?