CRIME & CORRUPTION

GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS

Much Rides on the Success of the New Colombian Government

A trend toward moderate, pro-US governments is emerging in South America. Will it be enough to ensure President Trump’s desire for a Washington-dominated Western Hemisphere?

SECURITY, UNREST & WAR

When Will Cuba Collapse? And What Happens Then?

There can be no clarity in viewing the post-communist era in the Caribbean.

CRIME & CORRUPTION

CURRENT ESTIMATE | Sierra Leone Comes into Focus as Narcotics Epicenter

SECURITY, UNREST & WAR

CURRENT ESTIMATE | How the US Prepares to Defeat the PRC in the Caribbean

It is not a question of if the US was now prepared to bring its conflict with Venezuela to a head; it was, by mid-October 2025, merely a matter of when and to what degree the matter would be brought to resolution.

DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES

Has President Bio Dodged a Bullet?

Sierra Leone’s Julius Maada Bio bludgeoned his way to re-election in June 2023, drawing international condemnation. And yet he has now won regional support to stay in office.

CRIME & CORRUPTION

CURRENT ESTIMATE | Haiti’s Unrest Becomes Central to Counter-US Operations

PERSONNEL

Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2024

HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY

ESSENTIAL READING | Maritime Strategy

GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS

The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?

Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.

GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS

EARLY WARNING | The Optimism-Fatalism Historical Cycle

GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS

Malaysia’s New Elected King

Malaysia crowned a new king on January 31, 2024, and he promises — like King Charles III in the UK — to add new dynamism to the monarchy, and re-define its rôle.

GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS

EN CLAIR | DR of Congo and Angola Again Reflect Importance