DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: Awakening to a Different World
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Commonwealth’s Surprising Power and BRICS’ Fragility
CHOGM showed that the sun had not set on the British Empire, but that the Empire — now the Commonwealth — has prospered, and that the Crown, as head of it, has moved well beyond the grasp of the Government of the United Kingdom.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Has President Bio Dodged a Bullet?
Sierra Leone’s Julius Maada Bio bludgeoned his way to re-election in June 2023, drawing international condemnation. And yet he has now won regional support to stay in office.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Can AUKUS, Unrepaired, Succeed?
Failure to plan equals planning to fail. So goes the mantra of businessmen, statesmen, and warriors. Can greatness of outcome be guaranteed without greatness of vision and articulated goals?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Scramble for Antarctica
Barriers are coming down to unilateral power projection around the world as treaties and prestige decline for major powers. Now, Antarctica becomes truly an area of competition.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Türkiye, Belarus Abandon CFE: The Treaties Crumble
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2024
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
AUKUS: The Silence of the Silent Service
AUKUS was conceived to deliver nuclear power to Australian submarine capabilities. The treaty is emerging as a strategic success … except for achieving its primary purpose.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.