STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Who Lost the Pacific?
Great power paternalism finally has its answer. The Pacific states themselves may be taking their region back.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Is Beijing’s Relative Position Declining in the Pacific?
Internal challenges within the US and the PRC seem more likely than external events to determine the overall outcome of their strategic competition, but the broader Pacific context now seems to be nudging incrementally in favor of the US/Western position.
AUKUS alliance
Strategic Architecture: An Evolution in the Pacific
A new geopolitical bloc is forming in Oceania, and it may be strategically significant.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Oceania Begins to Stir
Australia’s “apartheid” referendum and New Zealand’s election have consequences.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions - 02/2023
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Pivotal Return of Strategic Vision to the South-West Pacific
The return to the Fijian leadership of Prime Minister Rabuka is a great blow to the interests of the People’s Republic of China in the South-West Pacific, but much needs to be done, quickly, to solidify his ability to retain power in the face of opponents prepared to take extreme measures.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
EN CLAIR | The South Pacific: A War to Start All Wars?
Beijing ups its Indo-Pacific thrust while the West diverts its resources into Europe.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Under the Ukraine Cloud, PRC Makes First Challenge to AUKUS
The Solomons and Kiribati moves place the PRC into the South Pacific, beyond the First Island Chain. This would inhibit AUKUS’ ability to protect Taiwan in the event of war. It would also put the PRC astride the junction of major undersea comms cables near the Solomons.
SOVEREIGNTY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Much Could the Loss of West Papua Hurt Indonesia?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
EN CLAIR | Australia’s New Government: A Stable Commitment to Defense and Indo-Pacific Security
Afghanistan