STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persia Redux? The Moving Finger Writes
And having writ moves on…Iran now seems poised for a new era. But what is it?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
1974: The Watershed Which Created 50 Wasted Years
Failure to comprehend the enduring impact of historical events ensures an inability to address current and future challenges. But the West is yet to grasp the import of 1974.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Iranian-Israeli-Russian-US Brinkmanship Pays Off?
The political theater of the Iranian mass air attack on Israel “satisfied honor” and possibly highlighted the reality that Iran could be split from the principal sponsors of HAMAS: Türkiye and Qatar. A line of communication seems to have been established.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The Caucasus: How Close is Armenia to Collapse?
Yerevan’s long list of self-inflicted wounds has culminated with its “break with Moscow”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The View from 1997: New Strategic Environments Demand a New Doctrinal View
The global military environment has, with the political division of the world, changed dramatically since 1990. But military doctrine, and the tools to cope with the new world, are still insufficiently developed.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Guyana-Venezuela: When Will It Escalate to a Broader, Proxy War?
Or has it already done so? And will the West have to move away from sanctions as a primary strategic weapon, and rely more on direct measures?
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Insurance Companies as Drivers of Strategic Outcomes
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Türkiye Makes its Break with the West
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
How Beijing Played, and Failed, in the HAMAS War
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR