GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Prabowo has repeatedly said that Indonesia’s democratic system was not working, and that the country should return to its 1945 constitution. Even so, the US may continue to woo Indonesia with advanced military equipment.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
HISTORY
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Could the restoration of aspects of a more traditional structure help stabilize and inspire Russian governance? Or, indeed, all governments?
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
A changed Middle East has emerged from the Abraham Accord. Who is ready?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
The great malaise of 2021 will be the year of opportunity for leaders to make their mark.