DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
The New US-Turkish Plan for the Eastern Mediterranean Shatters Traditional Alliance Patterns
Specific moves by the United States and Türkiye cause concern in Israel while also negatively affecting Greece and Cyprus.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | The Return of Indonesia’s Old Élite … and an Earlier Vision?
Prabowo has repeatedly said that Indonesia’s democratic system was not working, and that the country should return to its 1945 constitution. Even so, the US may continue to woo Indonesia with advanced military equipment.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Real is IMEC? As Real as AUKUS?
The surprise announcement of the India-Middle East-Europe Economic Corridor lacks clarity as to the US's intention in drafting the concept, and how it will proceed.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Global Architecture: Xi in Arabia
It was more consequential than Washington realized. But now the battle has been joined.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 06/2022
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Turkey, Iran, Biden Push Against Impact of Abraham Accords
The Palestinians — the PA and HAMAS — as well as Turkey, Iran, and Qatar had no option but to return to a state of open warfare against Israel if they were to regain the strategic high ground, lost as a result of the 2020 Abraham Accords.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Jordan’s Fragility in a Fragile Zone
The Eastern Mediterranean-Red Sea strategic nexus is operating in a balance of weakness, and the Hashemite Kingdom is vulnerable.
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
The UAE: Triumph of Will Over Oil
HISTORY
Strategic Frameworks: The World After Westphalia
Global cyclical change led to a gradual shift from monarchies and empires to republics in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. But the cyclical age of “democratic republics” is now itself passing, as the world moves again from defensive to offensive posturing.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Restoring the Power and Legitimacy of Governance
Could the restoration of aspects of a more traditional structure help stabilize and inspire Russian governance? Or, indeed, all governments?