HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
Global Defense Procurement Patterns Set to Change Massively
It seems likely that the US share of the global defense marketplace will begin to peak within the next few years, and then enter a period of decline.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | The Tragic, de facto Failure of Material Progress
HISTORY
Geography: We Are Where We Are
Geography is patently a critical factor in strategic thinking, not just because of the physical limitations and possibilities it unveils, but because of the psychological impact of geography upon its inhabitants.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 04/2026
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Strategic Trends: We, the Imperialists!
We have abused the language and words of power. Our glib misuse of them hurts us and obscures the lessons of history at a time when we desperately need guidelines.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2026
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance Fracture is Now Global
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Transformation: the Eye of the Storm
Looking at the future from within the now-maturing maelstrom of trends and actions which are shaping the next strategic era and the probable new “rules-based world order”.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Curfew Tolls the Knell of Parting Day
Have I not told you, these recent years, that the cycle of great civilizational change is again upon us all? That, in the familiarity of days passing into days, the certainty of our lifetimes is being brought into a new world?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2026
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.