PERSONNEL
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | For a Few Barrels More: How Trump Attempts to Stabilize Libya
Finally, the US seems set to help restore the stability and economy of Libya in a move which would consolidate even further Washington’s new place in the expanded Middle East area, from the Mediterranean to the Persian Gulf and Indian Ocean.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
EN CLAIR | The AU Summit: How Much Did it Matter?
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Malaysia’s New Elected King
Malaysia crowned a new king on January 31, 2024, and he promises — like King Charles III in the UK — to add new dynamism to the monarchy, and re-define its rôle.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Egypt’s Pres. Sisi Clears the Decks for Meaningful Action
A staff estimate on a topic of current importance
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Strategic Philosophy: Cratocide of the Republics?
The transformation of the global strategic architecture is well advanced, bringing with it the slow death of some of the structures begun in the industrial revolution, and the slow birth or re-birth of identities seeking sovereign security.
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Insurance Companies as Drivers of Strategic Outcomes
So far, the Yemeni attacks have been militarily ineffective, albeit psychologically critical. This is, in fact, primarily a psychological war gambit, and the impact on shipping insurance costs is proving strategically significant.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s Strategic Penetration of Africa
Türkiye has established itself as a major strategic force in Africa, and works extensively through front groups controlled by its national intelligence service and a related “private military contractor”, SADAT.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
The New Scramble in Africa
Now the fruits of Africa’s new era of coups are apparent, not just with the coup in Niger, but also with the other recent coups and “non-constitutional” changes of government.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye Quietly Renounces NATO Links, But Not NATO Benefits
Türkiye has stopped attempting to balance its NATO membership against its commitments to Russia. It has, de facto, now thrown in its lot with Eurasia, demonstrated by its August 3, 2023, restructuring of the Turkish Armed Forces leadership.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
A New Eastern Mediterranean Strategic Matrix is Evolving
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRACTORIES | Taking Meaning — and Lessons — from Mutinies
Western analysts have been consistently keen to demonize Vladimir Putin, and predict his early departure. Wishful thinking is never good policy analysis. Assassinations and illness are always wild-cards and possibilities. But the Wagner episode was a mutiny in a teacup.