CULTURE, PSYCHOLOGY & MEDIA
Prestige: Decider of Wars
More critical than the “correlation of forces” is the balance of prestige in “an ignoble world”.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Gaining Strategic Initiative
There is no “art of the deal” unless negotiations — a non-kinetic dynamic — can be forced to begin. How engagement is commenced determines strategic advantage and momentum.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Watching the Dust Settle on the Panama Canal Issue
The “changes” the US has seen with regard to the Panama Canal since the visit by Marco Rubio have been symbolic of a far greater US concentration than for many decades on the Americas, but the US will need more attention on its maritime supremacy to continue to keep Beijing on the defensive.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
EARLY WARNING | Humiliation as Strategic Motivation or Malaise
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategically, in 2025, “Chance Happeneth to Them All”
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | An Amateur’s War...
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Understanding Trump…
…and President Trump understanding how, particularly, his allies see him.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Türkiye’s Proxy Domination of Syria Spearheads a Regional Transformation
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Currency as the Fundamental Source of Power and Power Projection
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Syria: Türkiye’s New Plan and the Rôle of Russia
Russia, perceived as the big loser with the fall of Syria’s Bashar al-Assad Government, sees a bigger goal: the potential to break up NATO as the US and Israel move to support the autonomy of the regional Kurdish populations.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
Surviving the Coming Calm...
… after the watershed of the US November 5, 2024, elections
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Who Lost the Pacific?
Great power paternalism finally has its answer. The Pacific states themselves may be taking their region back.