SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
All Sound and Fury …
Türkiye’s use of its recent military exercises as a means of propaganda, rather than training, show the ambitions of its president.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Transforming Turkish Defenses Now Also Geared to Israel
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The Scramble for Antarctica
Barriers are coming down to unilateral power projection around the world as treaties and prestige decline for major powers. Now, Antarctica becomes truly an area of competition.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Persia Redux? The Moving Finger Writes
And having writ moves on…Iran now seems poised for a new era. But what is it?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Is Beijing’s Relative Position Declining in the Pacific?
Internal challenges within the US and the PRC seem more likely than external events to determine the overall outcome of their strategic competition, but the broader Pacific context now seems to be nudging incrementally in favor of the US/Western position.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
1974: The Watershed Which Created 50 Wasted Years
Failure to comprehend the enduring impact of historical events ensures an inability to address current and future challenges. But the West is yet to grasp the import of 1974.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Geopolitics: The Re-Shaped Middle East Is Transforming the World
Old concepts of “the Middle East” using various geographic models, or using Arab or Arabic or Muslim overlays, are now not representative of the “new Middle East” which is, for the first time in centuries, less definable than ever, by its name and by other simple descriptors.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Türkiye’s Aggressive Military Expansion in the Horn of Africa
Türkiye’s ballistic missile program is expanding significantly as it not only expands cooperation with Pakistan, but also creates a test range in Somalia. Ankara now dominates the Horn of Africa in many military-diplomatic and trade matters.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Türkiye’s “Blue Homeland” Turns Against the West and the US
AUKUS alliance
Strategic Architecture: An Evolution in the Pacific
A new geopolitical bloc is forming in Oceania, and it may be strategically significant.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
The View from 1997: New Strategic Environments Demand a New Doctrinal View
The global military environment has, with the political division of the world, changed dramatically since 1990. But military doctrine, and the tools to cope with the new world, are still insufficiently developed.