STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
HISTORY
ESSENTIAL READING | Looking at the Classic Autocracies ...
ECONOMICS & BUSINESS
Risk Averse? Risk Ignorant?
Calculating risk, opportunity, and context: how the failure of our policy tools contributes to the current collapse of the strategic balance. Changing times mean changing tools.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
STRATEGIC TRAJECTORIES | Why Sri Lanka’s Election Matters to the Global Balance
Underlying everything is whether the PRC, now facing instability due to its economic crisis, can continue to pursue a broader strategic contest in the Indo-Pacific, or whether it must contract to control the mainland while continuing a non-kinetic war with the West.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
ESSENTIAL READING | When Is a Blockade a “Quarantine”?
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
Rebuilding Ties with the Military
The Turkish President, eight years after the “coup attempt” which flushed out his adversaries, is finally rebuilding the Armed Forces in his own image.
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
All Fall Down…What’s Next?
Former UK Prime Minister Harold Wilson said that a week was a long time in politics. The remainder of 2024 is, then, an eternity. Is there anywhere a respite from seemingly irrational instability?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Societies Alike in Their Strategic Unhappiness
GOVERNANCE & ELECTIONS
CURRENT ESTIMATE | How Does India Move, Strategically, Over the Next Term?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
2024: Tactical Nuclear Weapons
The years 2022-24 have seen increased talk of battlefield nuclear warfare, but little discussion of actual doctrine or approach. One of the great pioneers of nuclear strategy and doctrine, Dr Stefan Possony, developed doctrine after World War II which has been forgotten today.
SECURITY, UNREST & WAR
All Sound and Fury …
Türkiye’s use of its recent military exercises as a means of propaganda, rather than training, show the ambitions of its president.
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
How Long Can the Sino-Russian Entente Last This Time?
The new Russo-North Korean “treaty” is designed to help Moscow and Pyongyang protect themselves from Beijing, for sound strategic reasons. The view that it was all about the US or South Korea misses the point, and the message for the future.