PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance Fracture is Now Global
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Transformation: the Eye of the Storm
Looking at the future from within the now-maturing maelstrom of trends and actions which are shaping the next strategic era and the probable new “rules-based world order”.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Curfew Tolls the Knell of Parting Day
Have I not told you, these recent years, that the cycle of great civilizational change is again upon us all? That, in the familiarity of days passing into days, the certainty of our lifetimes is being brought into a new world?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2026
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Universal Unrest and its Meaning
The crowds are in the streets, everywhere, and in different forms, showing signs of fatigue, anger, despair, and more. How does this impact policymaking, economics, and defense decision-making? And how can we think about, and cope, with this phenomenon?
HARDWARE, WEAPONRY & TECHNOLOGY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | Strategic Change is Tied to Defense Acquisition Changes
Has Canada been gifted a chance to determine its own strategic future?
SOVEREIGNTY
Sovereignty, Borders, If You Can Keep Them
One of the founders of the post-British United States of America, Benjamin Franklin, was asked what would be the nature of the new nation. He answered: “A republic; if you can keep it.”
RESOURCES
Strategic Resources: Rare Earths in Australia
Modern war would chew through a lot of rare earth elements.