PERSONNEL
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Seizing Certainty: The Growing Japan-Australia Closeness
SOVEREIGNTY
Bougainville: Independence at Last?
Birthing a nation-state at a time when the old rules are less secure than they were.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
Strategic Trends: We, the Imperialists!
We have abused the language and words of power. Our glib misuse of them hurts us and obscures the lessons of history at a time when we desperately need guidelines.
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 03/2026
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Alliance Fracture is Now Global
It’s not just NATO; it’s the SCO, BRICS, and the Quad. And what of the UN?
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Transformation: the Eye of the Storm
Looking at the future from within the now-maturing maelstrom of trends and actions which are shaping the next strategic era and the probable new “rules-based world order”.
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
EARLY WARNING | Curfew Tolls the Knell of Parting Day
Have I not told you, these recent years, that the cycle of great civilizational change is again upon us all? That, in the familiarity of days passing into days, the certainty of our lifetimes is being brought into a new world?
PERSONNEL
Key Transitions and Defense and Intelligence Appointments - 02/2026
DIPLOMACY, ALLIANCES & TREATIES
Is AUKUS Heading for Pillar III, Even While Fighting for Survival?
The third pillar of AUKUS is belatedly shaping up to be strategic space cooperation.
STRATEGY & INTELLIGENCE
Taking the Magic out of Strategic Analysis
Why were so few states prepared for the major strategic breakpoints over the past 50 years, when Defense & Foreign Affairs had consistently laid out just why change was occurring?
STRATEGIC PHILOSOPHY
CURRENT ESTIMATE | 2026: The Consequential Years Gather Momentum
It is not as though 2025 was an inconsequential year. Many strategic trends came into focus, particularly around the (finally) visible collapse of the People’s Republic of China (PRC). But 2026 will see the clarification of even more events of global consequence.